AI Only Has to Beat 3/10
嗯,用户让我总结一下这篇文章的内容,控制在100字以内,而且不需要特定的开头。首先,我得通读一下文章,理解主要观点。 文章主要讨论了AI对现有企业、劳动力和网络安全的影响。作者认为,人们普遍高估了当前企业的运营水平和网络安全能力,认为它们处于9.5/10的水平。但实际上,大多数企业运营效率低下,员工表现平庸,网络安全也很脆弱,整体水平只有3/10。 接着,作者指出AI的能力其实并不像神话中说的那么强,可能在5到7分左右。但即使是这样的AI,也足以碾压现有的3分水平的企业和员工。因此,AI带来的冲击会比预期的更大。 总结的时候,我需要抓住几个关键点:现有企业的低效、AI的实际能力以及AI带来的颠覆性影响。同时要注意字数限制在100字以内。 可能的结构是:先说明当前状态被高估为9.5分实则只有3分;然后提到AI的能力在5-7分;最后指出这种差距导致的颠覆性影响。 现在试着组织语言: “文章指出当前企业运营和网络安全水平被高估为9.5/10实则仅为3/10。AI的能力虽仅达5-7分却能轻松碾压现有水平带来颠覆性影响。” 这样大概有82个字左右,符合要求。 </think> 文章指出当前企业运营和网络安全水平被高估为9.5/10实则仅为3/10。AI的能力虽仅达5-7分却能轻松碾压现有水平带来颠覆性影响。 2026-4-13 00:45:32 Author: danielmiessler.com(查看原文) 阅读量:6 收藏

Most of what we've built was always a 3 — we just never had competition that noticed

April 12, 2026

AI Only Has to Beat 3/10

I think there's a misconception about how AI will break and change things.

The Mythos hype has convinced people that AI is about to be so advanced that it can overcome our great cybersecurity defenses. It'll create new zero-days and use them to attack everything.

And that it'll be so smart that it can out-innovate our brilliant companies and genius human workers. So it'll replace hundreds of thousands of companies and millions of workers by exceeding their quality.

I think that's wrong.

The reality is that most companies are very poorly run. And their human workforces are extremely mediocre. The company vision isn't clear. It's hard to sell the product. And most of the workforce just tries to do as little as possible to earn their pay. And it's been this way for decades.

The only reason existing companies and workforces have survived this long is because most of their competition is just as bad.

With cybersecurity, it's not that everyone is so secure and there just aren't any attackers smart enough to bypass their defenses. Most companies are actually easy for a decent attacker to breach if they applied their focus and attention for a few days or weeks.

So, people in general, including most people in AI, are thinking that human companies and workforces and cyber defenses are at 9.5/10. And Mythos is a 9.7 out of 10!

In fact our current state of running everything, from companies to cybersecurity, is more like a 3/10.

And AI for running a business, doing knowledge work, and attacking companies, is about to come in at a 5. Or a 6. And then a 7.

But with the crucial difference that the 5 can be spread and scaled across the entire internet/world very quickly.

A 9 attacker in 2019 could only hit very few companies. A level 9 attacker can now/soon build a level 7 AI Harness to smash millions of companies that have level 3 defenses.

And it's the same with human worker replacement. An AI that's competency level 7 at doing general knowledge work isn't all that impressive. But it's revolutionary if it's going up against level 5 human workers who are costing the company 20x what they'd pay for the AI.

My takeaway and recommendation:

Don't think of the current state of things as a 9 that needs a level 10 AI to surpass it.

As a species, we're at a 3. In most things. It's rather a miracle anything works at all.

And here comes AI at a 5.

5 isn't great. It's weak and flawed too. But it CRUSHES a 3.

And this is the worst version it'll ever be. Maybe it's a 6 in 2027. Or an 8 in 2029. Who knows what those numbers would ever mean.

But humans took thousands of years to go from 1 to 2, and then centuries to go from 2 to 3. So humans aren't going suddenly jump to a 6 to counter AIs at a 5.

This is why we should take AI a whole lot more seriously, in general.

It's not competing with the best of us humans, or the best us humans can offer.

It's competing with what we have been able to piece together so far: which is a hobbled-together and fragile mess.

It's not 9.5 vs 9.7. It's 3 vs 5/6/7.


文章来源: https://danielmiessler.com/blog/ai-only-has-to-beat-3-out-of-10?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=website
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